The Northern Virginia real estate market continues to shift, and for homebuyers and sellers alike, staying ahead of the trends is key. Mark Worrilow, a seasoned real estate expert with Fathom Realty, recently shared valuable insights into the state of the market and whatâs driving demand in Prince William, Manassas, Manassas Park, Stafford, and Fredericksburg.
Surprising Market Trends
Conventional wisdom suggests that housing demand is strongest in areas closest to Washington, D.C., such as Arlington and Alexandria. However, recent data from Bright MLS paints a different picture. Demand in Arlington and Alexandria has actually slowed, while areas like Prince William County, Manassas, Stafford, and Fredericksburg have remained robust. In fact, these areas are outpacing Fairfax County in demand, which was a surprising revelation for Worrilow.
Why the shift? The answer lies in affordability, commuting options, and an improved quality of life. Arlington and Alexandria have slowed, but they are still ahead of the areas mentioned. Our areas are stronger in demand or about the same as Fairfax and Loudoun.
Affordability Meets Convenience
Housing affordability is one of the biggest draws to Prince William, Stafford, and Fredericksburg. Buyers in these areas get more homes for their money compared to Fairfax, Loudoun, or Arlington. Worrilow notes that many homebuyers who initially look in places like Centreville, Chantilly, or Burke realize that moving a little farther south provides them a better home at a lower costâwithout sacrificing commute times.
Thanks to investments in transportation infrastructure, commuting from these areas is easier than ever. With expanded hot lanes, commuter lots, VRE stations, and slugging options, residents have multiple ways to get to work efficiently.
Quality of Life and Strong Communities
Beyond price and convenience, buyers are drawn to the regionâs commitment to enhancing quality of life. Prince William County and Stafford, in particular, have invested heavily in parks, recreation centers, and entertainment options. Families considering a move consider the regionâs hiking trails, waterfront access, and local community events significant perks.
For those who enjoy outdoor activities, access to the Rappahannock and Potomac Rivers and the Northern Neck provides endless recreational opportunities. Worrilow points out that these natural attractions make the region even more appealing to buyers who want proximity to nature without venturing too far from urban conveniences.
More Homes Hitting the Market
Inventory has been a long-standing challenge in Northern Virginia, but that, too, is changing. Worrilowâs analysis shows a sharp increase in the number of homes available in Prince William and Stafford counties. In January 2024, there were 410 detached homes on the market in Prince William, up from 367 in January 2023. In Stafford, inventory jumped from 189 homes last January to 285 this yearâa significant increase.
While this doesnât mean the market is shifting to a buyerâs market, it gives buyers more options. As more homes become available, sellers may see increased competition, making it even more important to have the right strategy when listing a property.
The New Reality of Interest Rates
Interest rates have been a hot topic in real estate conversations. While buyers were initially hesitant to purchase when rates climbed, Worrilow sees a shift in mindset. Many potential buyers have accepted the new normal and are moving forward with their purchases, realizing that waiting for rates to drop to historic lows is unlikely.
âAs people become acclimated to todayâs rates, weâre seeing more buyers willing to enter the market,â Worrilow explains. âThis is leading to increased competition and a continued strong market in our area.â
Why Work With an Experienced Realtor?
Understanding these trends and knowing how to navigate them requires experience. With deep knowledge of Northern Virginiaâs real estate landscape, Mark Worrilow is committed to helping buyers and sellers make informed decisions that align with their goals.
âThis region continues to grow, and for those considering making a move, now is an exciting time to enter the market,â says Worrilow. âWhether youâre buying or selling, having a strategic plan in place will ensure success in this competitive environment.â
Stay Ahead of the Market
Staying informed is key for those looking to buy or sell in Prince William, Stafford, Fredericksburg, or surrounding areas. If youâre ready to move and want expert guidance, connect with Mark Worrilow at Fathom Realty. With years of experience and a pulse on the latest market trends, heâs ready to help you navigate todayâs dynamic real estate landscape. Call him â 703-244-8702.Â
Step into this stunning 4-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom colonial home at 107 Seven Pines Dr., Locust Grove, VA 22508, where modern luxury meets tranquil living. Situated on a spacious half-acre lot in the prestigious Lake of the Woods community, this move-in-ready gem is the ultimate blend of elegance and comfort.
Why You’ll Love This Home:
This beautiful home offers over 2,500 square feet of finished living space, featuring brand-new stainless steel appliances, Pergo and wood laminate flooring, and fresh paint inside and out. The open and airy two-story foyer leads to gleaming hardwood floors throughout the main level. The light-filled dining room and a versatile office/formal living room flank the entrance. The cozy living room, complete with a gas fireplace, flows seamlessly into the upgraded kitchen with Kraftmaid cabinetry, sleek stainless steel appliances, and a convenient breakfast bar.
The upper level features all-new flooring, an office, and four spacious bedrooms. The ownerâs suite boasts a large walk-in closet, dual vanities, and an ultra-relaxing jetted soaking tub. An additional flex room upstairs can serve as an office, gym, playroom, or even a fifth bedroom. The refinished screened-in rear deck offers the perfect space for year-round entertaining, while the large, level backyard provides plenty of room to play. A two-car garage and a newly sealed asphalt driveway complete this amazing home.
Resort-Style Living:
Lake of the Woods offers an unparalleled lifestyle with two private lakes perfect for boating, fishing, and swimming, an 18-hole USGA golf course, an equestrian center, two pools, tennis courts, parks, and a fitness center. The community also features a vibrant social calendar and 24-hour gated security for peace of mind.
Your Move, Your Moment
Listed at $465,000, this exceptional property wonât stay on the market long. With its unbeatable combination of luxury, space, and community amenities, itâs the perfect place to call home.
Contact Juan Piniella at 703-863-1033 today to schedule your private showing. Donât waitâcall now to make this dream home yours!
Hello! I’m Mark Worrilow of Fathom Realty. In this week’s listing, you wonât beat the price or condition of this remodeled home in a quiet area with plenty of land to serve your needs.
It’s been remodeled and is ready for new owners. This walk-in home is equipped with upgrades and beautiful fresh paint.
In 2024, the water piping was replaced, new outdoor fixtures were installed, a brand new hot water heater was also installed, and the HVAC system was cleaned and serviced in July 2024.
Call Mark Worrilow today at 703-244-8702 or email mworrilow[at]fathomrealty.com.Â
The address is 10217 Catharpin Road, Spotsylvania Courthouse, Va.
Click Here to Take a virtual tour.
See my slideshow below
Mark Worrilow Fathom Realty is a Potomac Local sponsor. If you’re looking to buy or sell a home, change careers, or find a better place to sell Real Estate, call Mark today!

Why is the absorption rate crucial in understanding the current housing inventory situation in Northern Virginia and Stafford County? Mark Worrilow of Fathom Realty explains how this key metric helps buyers and sellers navigate the dynamic real estate landscape.
Mark has years of experience and a deep understanding of local market trends. His personalized approach ensures that you get the best possible advice and outcomes whether you are buying or selling. Mark has successfully helped numerous clients navigate the complexities of the real estate market, securing the best deals and selling homes quickly.
His knowledge of the absorption rate and other key market indicators gives you a competitive edge.
When people discuss the market, terms like âsellerâs marketâ or âbuyerâs marketâ are often used without clear definitions. The absorption rate provides this clarity by comparing the number of homes sold to those actively listed on the market. This metric indicates how quickly homes are selling and how long it would take to deplete the current inventory at the current sales pace.
In Stafford County, for instance, the absorption rate is approximately 1.5 months, meaning that if no new homes were listed, it would take about a month and a half to sell all available properties. This figure is crucial as it reflects the market’s pace and helps buyers and sellers make informed decisions.
Understanding the absorption rate is vital for sellers because it shows how fast homes are moving. This knowledge can help in pricing strategies and timing decisions, ensuring their property is competitively positioned in the market. On the other hand, buyers must be aware of this rate to avoid missing out on desirable properties in a fast-paced market.
Quick decision-making can be essential in securing a home.
The absorption rate also helps define whether the market favors buyers or sellers. An absorption rate of one to three months typically signals a sellerâs market, which is the case in Northern Virginia and Stafford County. With strong demand and the regionâs commuting advantages, this trend is expected to continue.
Understanding the absorption rate is more than just knowing a number; itâs about grasping the market dynamics that affect your ability to buy or sell a home. This knowledge empowers you to make more informed, strategic decisions in the real estate market.
Understanding the absorption rate is crucial to staying ahead in the fast-paced real estate market of Northern Virginia and Stafford County.
Contact Mark Worrilow today for a consultation and discover how his expertise can benefit you. You can make informed, strategic decisions and achieve your real estate goals with Mark’s guidance. Don’t miss out on this opportunity to work with one of the top real estate professionals in the region!

Mark Worrilow of Fathom Realty is a Licensed Broker/Instructor in Virginia.
Stafford County residents recently received their biannual property tax assessments, revealing a significant increase in property values. On average, residential properties saw a 13% rise, while commercial properties surged by 23%.
Mark Worrilow, a real estate expert with Fathom Realty specializing in Stafford County, weighed in on the implications and offered advice for homeowners.
Worrilow emphasized the importance of understanding that the assessed value determined by the county reflects the worth of one’s property for tax purposes. He urged homeowners not to react to the assessment figures immediately but to evaluate their property’s market value critically. He stated, “Before we say, ‘I can’t believe my house is being assessed so much,’ ask yourself, ‘What’s your house really worth?'”
The expert highlighted the opportunity for homeowners to seek a reassessment if they believe their property’s value is inaccurately assessed. Worrilow stressed the need for homeowners to engage with local authorities and understand the implications of property assessments on their taxes, stating, “All politics is local, and deal with your county supervisor or city or town councilor… If we’re not involved, then we have no one to blame but ourselves.”
In Virginia, localities heavily rely on real estate taxes to fund local government operations, making property assessments a vital aspect of local governance. Worrilow underscored the significance of understanding tax rates and assessments, urging homeowners to educate themselves on where their tax dollars are allocated.
Regarding the increase in property values attributed to supply and demand dynamics, Worrilow concurred with Stafford County Commissioner of the Revenue Scott Mayauskyâs assessment. He acknowledged the scarcity of available homes and high demand as key drivers of escalating property prices in Stafford County.
A âdadâ to a German Shepherd puppy, or as he calls it, âShuppy,â and husband to a wonderful wife, Mark likes to read, cook, and use his smoker. He also loses golf balls and fishing lures.
Mark is a retired naval officer and 27+ year career REALTORÂź. He is also an instructor for numerous continuing education and REALTORÂź professional growth classes.
A Prince William/Stafford resident since 1991, he is well-versed in these areas and markets. A believer in giving back to those who serve our community, Mark has a program to support those buying or selling in Northern Virginia and has numerous agents who work for him who do the same. As a proud member of Rotary, he also extends these benefits to service organization members.

Mark Worrilow of Fathom Realty shed light on the absorption rate in the Northern Virginia Real Estate market and its pivotal role in navigating the dynamic Real Estate landscape of Northern Virginia and Stafford County. Worrilow, an expert in the field, delved into why absorption rate holds significant importance for prospective buyers and sellers.
“When people inquire about the state of the market, the terms ‘seller’s market’ or ‘buyer’s market’ often get tossed around without much quantification,” remarked Worrilow. “Absorption rate provides that quantification by comparing the number of homes sold to those actively listed on the market.”
Worrilow emphasized that in Stafford County, the absorption rate currently stands at approximately 1.5 months, indicating that the existing inventory would be depleted within a month and a half. Subject to seasonal fluctuations, this figure serves as a tangible measure of market activity, enabling individuals to gauge how swiftly homes are being bought and sold.
Highlighting the significance of this metric, Worrilow explained, “For instance, in February alone, there were 266 homes listed on the market, including those under contract and pending sale. This comprehensive approach to calculating absorption rate paints a clearer picture of market dynamics.”
Discussing the implications for both buyers and sellers, Worrilow stressed the need for proactive decision-making. “For sellers, understanding absorption rate underscores the potential speed at which their homes can sell, provided they are priced appropriately. Conversely, buyers are advised not to delay their decisions, as desirable properties may vanish quickly in a fast-paced market.”
In defining whether the market leans towards sellers or buyers, Worrilow outlined the benchmarks. “An absorption rate of one to three months signals a seller’s market, and we’re firmly entrenched in that territory. With our region’s strong demand and commuting advantages, this trend is likely to persist.”
Worrilow urged buyers to consult with their Real Estate agent for localized insights. “Real estate is inherently local, so understanding absorption rates specific to your neighborhood is crucial. Your agent can provide tailored guidance based on market nuances.”
A âdadâ to a German Shepherd puppy, or as he calls it, âShuppy,â and husband to a wonderful wife, Mark likes to read, cook, and use his smoker. He also loses golf balls and fishing lures.
Mark is a retired naval officer and 27+ year career REALTORÂź. He is also an instructor for numerous continuing education and REALTORÂź professional growth classes.
A Prince William/Stafford resident since 1991, he is well-versed in these areas and markets. A believer in giving back to those who serve our community, Mark has a program to support those buying or selling in Northern Virginia and has numerous agents who work for him who do the same. As a proud member of Rotary, he also extends these benefits to service organization members.